’12-’13 *YTD* = 200-164 (55%) @ +34.45 unit$
GiLz #NCAAB ((01.26.13))
• UC Irvine +4 = [2U]
• Maryland (1H) +7
• Villanova (1H) +4
• Georgia State +7
• Air Force +7
• Southern Miss -5
• Saint Louis -2
• Arizona State +3
• Minnesota +3
• Western ILL +2.5
• Northern Iowa +1
Holy. Large. Card… Batman. Not too much time for an extensive Breakdown for today, so I’ll spit out why I am on, what I’m on….
> UC Irvine is 3-0 this year as a [2U] Road +DOG for me, and I’m not stopping with them now. First meeting between these 2 teams the L4 games where LongBeach isn’t a DD -FAV – UC Irvine has only covered 3 times this year as Road +DOGS and was fortunate to be on the winning side of those 3, and going for the Fantasic Four (yep, punned it)
> Maryland (1H) is a play of the latest #autotrend that’s been produced, the fade of Duke in the 1st Half of play as they are 1-9 ATS their L10 1st halves. Coach K & Co. are coming off one of their most embarrassing losses in the past years so expect them to be geared up to rip off some turtle shells. However, Maryland has been underwhelming to say the least their last few games. They average 71 on the year – their L5 games they only scored OVER 60 once. They’ll hold a big rebounding advantage of Duke. The Terripans should hang around the first 20 minutes based off stats alone. Throw in the trend of the Duke 1H fade and the Terripans “should” cover the 7.
> Villanova 1H play is in large part to them going into the 2nd half with the lead their L5 games. Including one @ Syracuse back on Jan. 12th – I believe they’ll rollover their emotional big win -vs- Louisville with some mojomentum in the 1H, then fall apart in the 2H.
> Georgia State is a play off my consistent & constant fade of Drexel. Drexel favored by 7? Yea. Right. Sign me up with those Panthers of the Peach State, State.
> Air Force similar play as I will continue to fade Wyoming as they are without Luke Martinez.
> Southern Miss is one of the hottest ATS teams in the nation, and I have to admit I am crushing on this team. I sure hope they’re in the big dance come March. The Golden Hurricanes of Tulsa don’t defend their homecourt to well when a team with a better record shows up, as they are 6-22 ATS in their L25. Some like fading teams after putting up 100 or more. I do too… but not this team.
> Saint Louis in good position for a cover here as St. Bonnies is in a big LetDown spot after 2 road upsets. Now coming back home. Saint Louis has a game coming up -vs- Butler, but that’s 5 days away.
> Minnesota with 3 straight losses. Tubby Smith & Co. to have 4 straight losses? I’m taking the 3 points to bet against Minny losing 4 straight.
> Arizona State catching a UCLA team off big Arizona Top 10 win. Playing another in state (Arizona) team. Arizona State enrolle of +3.
> Western ILL has a fairly good defense. Oakland doesn’t match well against good defensive squads. Western ILL is 4th in nation in Points allowed (51 per game) & 29th in FG% D. After reaching 11 games of research last night on Oakland facing teams who’ve allowed less then 60 points per game, they lost those 11 games outright.
> Northern Iowa has came on of late, going 4-0 straight up L4 and 4-0 ATS L4. Larry Bird U is 10-2 L12 ATS. I feel Northern Iowa is the hotter in conference team and getting it basically @ pick’em on the road. So, I picked ’em.