GiLz #NCAAB ((01.08.13))
• Missouri -9.5 = [2U]
• Pitt +2.5
• Northeastern +6
• Clemson (1H) +9/-105
’12-’13 *YTD* = 142-114 (55%) @ +35.60 unit$
> 33-15 [2U] plays
Missouri has been battle tested their L3 games (going 2-1/WON Illinois on neutral court, Bucknell @ home, lost @ UCLA) and I think tonight it’s the perfect setup for them to show why they made the move to the SEC and simply dominate the competition. Give the Tigers homecourt and they score. Score. Score. Last game –vs- Bucknell you can chalk that up as a let down. They haven’t lose on their homecourt this year. In comes an Alabama team who only average 60pts away from home. Their defense may be up to the test tonight –vs- the Tigers who average 79PPG (30th in nation) as they allow only 59PPG (36th in the nation) but as for FG% defense, Alabama is ranked #51 with Missouri being ranked #22 in the nation. Look for the dominating factor in this one to be rebounding; MIZZOU #1 in nation > Alabama #233. Mizzou owns Rebounds Per Game by 14. OVERS are hitting like crazy @ MIZZOU, 9 gone over last 10. Expect Mizzou to do their thing on their home floor with a stamp of approval to be reckoned with in the SEC. Also stamping *BOUNCE BACK* mode on Mizzou in this one as they scored under 70 @ home last home game. The last 3 years when they’ve scored UNDER 70 @ home, they’ve responded the following game averaging 92PPG in these past 5 situations. Happened earlier this year when they scored UNDER 70 –vs- Tennessee State back in December. Next outing, they scored 102 in a 51point romp of South Carolina State.
Other plays; Wagering on PITT not losing 3 straight conference games. I like them to win straight up as well. I think Pitt will have it’s own pace that Georgetown won’t match. More of a PITT style then GTOWN style game > Drexel. Favored? By 2 buckets? L. O. f’ing. L. That’s all > Duke starts slow. Tears up the 2nd half. I’ll take Clemson for the 1st half as this trend is strating to turn into the Cincy Bearcats first half trouble #autotrend.