A couple days back, I asked GiLz Tweet’ers to list some pitchers they were curious if they are BounceBack/LetDown material or any other trends, strengths, weaknesses that may stick out.

Here’s the first 10 pitchers tweeted to me; Tim Hudson, Barry Zito, Max Scherzer, Ubaldo Jimenez, Justin Masterson, Jonny Cueto, Chad Billingsley, Trevor Cahill, Randy Wolf, Matt Cain.

 

• TIM HUDSON  =  #BounceBack start Last 3 Years after allowing 4+ER or more; 16-3 (4 ND) 2.03 ERA/1.06 WHIP

• MAX SCHERZER  =  #Strength(s)  Max Scherzer -vs- AL West L3 years; 12-2 (4 ND) 3.02 ERA/1.20 WHIP; 9.9 K/9 ratio in those 18 starts.

• UBALDO JIMENEZ  =  #LetDown start after pitching a Quality Start since he was traded to Indians, Aug. 2011; 5-16 (2 ND) 6.43 ERA/1.60 WHIP

• JOHNNY CUETO  =  #Strength(s)  Cueto is 19-5 2.03 ERA/1.09 WHIP the L3 years in Day Game starts.  Cueto stats the L3 years -vs- the NL Central Bottom Dwellers (Cubs/Pirates) is 12-3 (6 ND) 1.79 ERA/1.00 WHIP

• JUSTIN MASTERSON  =  #Weakness  Masterson has been owned by the AL West the L3 years; 3-8 (7 ND) 5.91 ERA/1.65 WHIP.  Also to note, Masterson has had a horrendous career -vs- the Tampa Bay Rays; 1-7 (2 ND) 7.74 ERA/1.97 WHIP.  Masterson fits the rotation to start against the Rays next Sunday, April 7th.

• MATT CAIN  =  One of my FAVORITE #BounceBack pitchers in Baseball:  In the 47 games Matt Cain has started @ home the L3 years, only once has he allowed back-to-back 3+ER outings.  Here’s his BounceBack stats in a Home Start after allowing 3+ER @ Home the L3 years; 11-4 (2 ND) 1.69 ERA/0.95 WHIP.  The 4 losses, the Giants scored 1, 2, 1, 0 in 9 innings of play.

• CHAD BILLINGSLEY  =  I can’t find any strengths, weakness, or solid trends go off of.  He’s average in in splits/stats throughout the board.  Career wise & L3 years.  Worth a fade if he starts -vs- the Angels in interleague play as he’s 1-5 career, ERA almost @ 5 and a WHIP @ 1.5.  And worth a fade when starting @ Coors where he’s 1-6 lifetime, 7.26 ERA/1.92 WHIP

• RANDY WOLF  =  Seems like whenever Randy Wolf is starting, the OVER is a solid play.  Last year he started 30 games with the total amount of runs scored in his starts was 318.  318 / 30 = 10.6 runs per game.  2011 was a bit of a solid year, runs per game wise, as RPG in his starts was 7.78 but the year before that, in 2010, RPG in his starts was 10.

• TREVOR CAHILL  =  Also nothing to really note of Cahill.  2nd year pitching @ Chase Field where he was 7-7 last year, 4.68 ERA/1.43 WHIP

Here’s some other pitchers stashed in my vault  -  some of these I’ve tweeted out recently…

• IAN NOVA  =  one of my favorites to fade & play TeamTotals against is IAN NOVA after Quality Start; #LetDown spot his next start after Quality Start  =  6.32 ERA / 1.65 WHIP.  He has about a .500 W/L record due to the Yankees always giving him great run support, one of the best in the MLB.  Which leads me to the next pitcher in GiLzVault…

• CC Sabathia  =  CC Sabathia has received more run support the L3 years then any pitcher in MLB; 2010 / 5.68, 2011 / 5.58, 2012 / 5.71 = AVG 5.66 RunSupport

• IAN KENNEDY  =  #BounceBack from the Vault; Ian Kennedy bounce back start after allowing 2+ HomeRuns in a game; 10-3, 2.40 ERA. Didn’t allow HR in 11 of 16 situations

• LUKE HOCHEVAR  =  If he comes back to the rotation, we should throw a Welcome Back Party; statline on one of my favorite fades, ever.  #LetDown Luke Hochevar road start after home quality start since 2008; 2-13 (4 ND) 6.39 ERA/1.58 WHIP

• EDINSON VOLQUEZ  =  #LetDown  stats in start after pitching Quality Start the L3 years; 4-7 (6 ND) 7.10 ERA/1.89 WHIP

• JON NIESE  =  #BounceBack  stats in start after allowing 4+ER the L3 years; 8-2 (2 ND) 1.82 ERA/1.15 WHIP

• JAMES SHIELDS  =  #Strength(s)  Shields loves the month of April. L3 years; 9-1, 2.85 ERA/1.15 WHIP. Career in April; 16-4, 3.08 ERA/1.12 WHIP

*UPDATED* ((03.25.13))
 
____________________________________________
 
Ranked from most +unit$ won as a standard [1U] wager…
 
____________________________________________
 
 
• Wyoming (1H) 7-20 ATS L27  =  +12.30 unit$
• UMass (1H) 18-6 ATS L24  =  +11.40 unit$
• Indiana (1H) 20-8 ATS L28  =  +11.20 unit$
• Gonzaga (1H) 16-5 ATS L21  =  +10.50 unit$
• Minnesota (1H) 5-16 ATS L21  =  +10.50 unit$
• Cincinnati (1H) 7-17 ATS L24  =  +9.30 unit$
• Villanova (1H) 18-8 ATS L26  =  +9.20 unit$
• Kansas State (1H) 16-7 ATS L23  =  +8.30 unit$
• Duke (1H) 7-16 ATS L23  =  +8.30 unit$
• Samford (1H) 14-6 ATS L20  =  +7.40 unit$
• Missouri State (1H) 15-8 ATS L22  =  +6.20 unit$
 
 

As Baseball approaches, I’ve been geeking through depth charts of each team the last 72 hours.  Since it’s too much to tweet, I’ll post it @ GiLzBlog.  Speaking of GiLzBlog, you’ll see a more improved, enhanced, detailed blogsite once MLB approaches.  

 

Here’s my Top 10 Breakout Players for this upcoming #MLB Season in no particular order:

 

• OF/Adam Eaton, D’Backs
• 3B/Brett Lawrie, Blue Jays
• 3B/Will Middlebrooks, Red Sox
• P/Marco Estrada, Brewers
• 1B/Justin Smoak, Mariners
• P/Jacob Turner, Marlins
• P/Zach McAllister, Indians
• P/Daniel Straily, Athletics
• 2B/Josh Rutledge, Rockies
• P/Drew Pomeranz, Rockies

GiLz #NCAAB  ((02.05.13))
• Michigan -7.5  =  [2U]
• Villanova (1H) -1.5  =  [2U]
• Mizz State (1H) +7  =  [2U]
• Wichita State -10
• Wake Forest (1H) +7

> ’12-’13 *YTD* = 238-195 (55%) @ +42.05 unit$
> 52-30 [2U] plays

_________________________________________________________________________

 

**** GiLzBreakdown ****

> I said this a few weeks back when Michigan lost @ Ohio State, the calendar day was circled up for a [2U] BounceBack play… and even better with the BounceBack as they just lost their #1 seed to Indiana over the weekend.

> Posted last nigh to The Twitter Villanova’s L14 1st half games -vs- DePaul’s L14 1st half games = Villanova (1H) 12-2 ATS L14 games / DePaul 5-9 (1H) ATS L14 games. Been playing the Villanova 1st half trend for a while now and it matches up nicely (what looks to be nicely) tonight @ DePaul.

> Mizz State is one of the surprise teams (ATS teams by all means) in the country as they seem to keep on covering. This 1st Half trend with them as been money all year long pretty much. They take there 10-3 (1H) ATS L13 record -vs- a Northern Iowa team who has covered 4 straight 1st halves @ home, but are coming off a big win -vs- then #15 Wichita State. I think a letdown spot could be in for Northern Iowa… but the main play here is Mizz State’s 1st Half play. 6 of their 10 covers was SU going into 2nd half.

> Wichita State is a BounceBack spot -vs- the worst team in the Missouri Valley Conference…

> Wake Forest (1H) is following what I uncovered this past weekend and saw them take a loss – Wake Forest is 10-4 (1H) ATS L14 games.

GiLz #MLB Hoopla on a SuperBowl Sunday = 2012 Top 5 (1st 5) OVERS; 1.
Indians, 2. Pirates, 3. Rays, 4. Red Sox, 5T. A’s/Astros

GiLz #MLB Hoopla on a SuperBowl Sunday = 2012 Top 5 (1st 5) UNDERS; 1.
Dodgers, 2. Reds, 3. Mets, 4. Orioles, 5. Cardinals

———————————-

GiLz #MLB Hoopla on a SuperBowl Sunday = 2012 Top 5 Bullpen ERA; 1.
Reds, 2. Braves, 3. Rays, 4. Athletics, 5. Orioles

GiLz #MLB Hoopla on a SuperBowl Sunday = 2012 Bottom 5 Bullpen ERA; 1.
Brewers, 2. Mets, 3. Rockies, 4. Cubs, 5. Astros

———————————-

GiLz #MLB Hoopla on a SuperBowl Sunday = 2012 Top 5 Home Team OVERS;
1. Rockies, 2. Brewers, 3. White Sox, 4. Padres, 5. Red Sox

GiLz #MLB Hoopla on a SuperBowl Sunday = 2012 Top 5 Home Team
UNDERS; 1T. Rays, 1T. Pirates, 3. Mariners, 4. Yankees, 5. Braves

GiLz #MLB Hoopla on a SuperBowl Sunday = 2012 Top 5 Away Team OVERS;
1. Giants, 2. Mets, 3. Astros, 4. Padres, 5. Brewers

GiLz #MLB Hoopla on a SuperBowl Sunday = 2012 Top 5 Away Team
UNDERS; 1. White Sox, 2. Reds, 3. Orioles, 4. Rockies, 5. Tigers

———————————–

GiLz #MLB Hoopla on a SuperBowl Sunday = 2012 Top 5 RISP w/2outs; 1. Brewers, 2. Mets, 3. Phillies, 4. Braves, 5. Twins

GiLz #MLB Hoopla on a SuperBowl Sunday = 2012 Bottom 5 RISP w/2outs; 1. Reds, 2. Marlins, 3. Mariners, 4. Cubs, 5. Pirates

———————————–

GiLz #MLB Hoopla on a SuperBowl Sunday = 2012 Top 5 .OPS -vs- LHP; 1. Brewers, 2. Rangers, 3. Cardinals, 4. Angels, 5. Yankees

GiLz #MLB Hoopla on a SuperBowl Sunday = 2012 Top 5 .OPS -vs- RHP; 1. Yanklees, 2. Rangers, 3. Tigers, 4. Rockies, 5. Angels

GiLz #MLB Hoopla on a SuperBowl Sunday = 2012 Bottom 5 .OPS -vs- LHP; 1. Astros, 2. Cubs, 3. Marlins, 4. Indians, 5. Mets

GiLz #MLB Hoopla on a SuperBowl Sunday = 2012 Bottom 5 .OPS -vs- RHP; 1. Mariners, 2. Padres, 3. Astros, 4. Cubs, 5. Dodgers

———————————–

GiLz #MLB Hoopla on a SuperBowl Sunday = 2012 Top 5 Grounded into Double Play; 1. Tigers, 2. Orioles, 3. Twins, 4. Indians, 5. Dodgers

GiLz #MLB Hoopla on a SuperBowl Sunday = 2012 Bottom 5 Grounded into Douple Play; 1. Mariners, 2. A’s, 3. Pirates, 4. Reds, 5. Padres

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